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審定:無
翻譯:劉冬(簡介並寄信)
編輯:馬景文(簡介並寄信)
(編註:輔助教室
編輯所設置自學書院網站設有本課程的輔助教室,內容包括部份閱讀文章的翻譯本,中文文獻連結,和自學者論壇。)


本課程沒有教科書,你可以從以下書目中取材:

There are no textbooks for the course. However, I shall use material from:

  • " Blanchard, O.和 S. Fischer,《總體經濟學講義》,麻省理工學院出版社,1989版. (在下文中簡稱「Blanchard 和 Fischer」)[涵蓋了大部分的基礎知識,但該書已經老化]。
    Blanchard, O. and S. Fischer, Lectures on Macroeconomics, MIT Press 1989. (Blanchard and Fischer in what follows) [covers most bases, but is aging]
  • Obstfeld, M.和K. Rogoff,《國際經濟學基礎》,麻省理工學院出版社,1996. (在下文中簡稱“Obstfeld 和 Rogoff”)[內容更注重開放式經濟]。
    Obstfeld, M. and K. Rogoff, Foundations of International Economics, MIT Press 1996. (Obstfeld and Rogoff in what follows) [focuses more on open economy issues]
  • Ljungqvist, L. 和 T. Sargent, 《總體經濟學遞迴理論》麻省理工學院出版社,2000 [更多著眼於技術]
    Ljungqvist, L. and T. Sargent, Recursive Macroeconomic Theory, MIT Press 2000 [focuses more on techniques]
  • " Woodford, M.《利息與價格》,普林斯頓出版社, 2002版. (更注重名義剛性和貨幣政策的作用)(可以在www.princeton.edu/~woodford/macro20c.pdf上下載)
    Woodford, M. Interest and Prices, mimeo Princeton, 2002. [focuses more on nominal rigidities, and the role of monetary policy]. Available at www.princeton.edu/~woodford/
  • 總體經濟學研究領域發展迅速。以下兩篇調查,可能對瞭解經濟學發展縱向史有所幫助.
    Macroeconomics is a rapidly changing field. To get a sense of the geography, you might find it useful to read two recent surveys:
  • Blanchard, O., 〈何為Fisher 和 Wicksell 所不知而為我們所知的總體經濟學知識?〉,《經濟學季刊》,2000月11月, 115:4, 1375-1410.
    Blanchard, O., "What Do We Know About Macroeconomics that Fisher and Wicksell Did Not?" QJE, November 2000, 115:4, 1375-1410.
  • " Woodford, M., 《20世紀總體經濟學的革新與發展》,於 P. Gifford所編輯的《21世紀思維前沿》(即將出版),哈佛大學出版社. (可以在www.princeton.edu/~woodford/macro20c.pdf上下載)
    Woodford, M., "Revolution and Evolution in Twentieth-Century Macroeconomics," forthcoming in P. Gifford, ed., Frontiers of the Mind in the Twenty-First Century, Harvard University Press. (Available at www.princeton.edu/~woodford/macro20c.pdf)

這門課程圍繞就九個主題/部分展開。針對每一個主題,我將給出一些基本閱讀資料,以及一些展示深層次應用或擴展的學術論文。

The course is organized around nine topics/sections. For each topic, I have included basic readings, as well as a few papers showing further applications or extensions.

粗體字表示需要閱讀。

Bold denotes required reading.



1. 波動。實情。
Fluctuations. Facts.

  • Blanchard和 Fischer, 第一章
    Blanchard and Fischer, Chapter 1
  • " Stock, J. 和Watson, M.,〈美國總體經濟時間序列中的商業周期波動〉第一章,第1A冊。《總體經濟學手冊》,J. Taylor 和 M. Woodford 編輯, North Holland 1999
    Stock, J. and Watson, M., "Business Cycle Fluctuations in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series," Chapter 1, Volume 1A, Handbook of Macroeconomics, J. Taylor and M. Woodford eds, North Holland, 1999
  • Christiano L. 和T. Fitzgerald,〈商業周期:仍舊是一個謎。〉《經濟觀察》, 芝加哥聯邦儲蓄銀行, 1998-4, 56-83 (可以在http://faculty.econ.nwu.edu/faculty/christiano/research/ep98/ep4q98a.pdf 上下載)
    Christiano L. and T. Fitzgerald, "The Business Cycle: It's Still a Puzzle", Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, 1998-4, 56-83 (available at http://faculty.econ.nwu.edu/faculty/christiano/research/ep98/ep4q98a.pdf )
  • Abraham, K.和 J. Haltiwanger, 〈實際工資和商業周期〉,《經濟文獻期刊》,1995年9月, 期號33-3, 1215-1264
    Abraham, K. and J. Haltiwanger, "Real Wages and the Business Cycle," JEL, September 1995, Volume 33-3, 1215-1264
  • Christiano, L., Eichenbaum M., 和C. Evans,〈貨幣政策的衝擊效應:資本流動的實証〉,《經濟學和統計學評論》,1996年2月, 78-1, 16-34
    Christiano, L., Eichenbaum M., and C. Evans, "The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from the Flow of Funds," REStat, February 1996, 78-1, 16-34


2. 基本模型:消費/儲蓄的選擇
The basic model. The consumption/saving choice.

  • Blanchard 和Fischer, 第2章和第6章-2
    Blanchard and Fischer, Chapters 2 and 6-2.
  • Obstfeld 和Rogoff, 第1章和第2章
    Obstfeld and Rogoff, Chapters 1 and 2
  • Ljungquist 和Sargent, 第2章和第3章
    Ljungqvist, L. and T. Sargent, Chapters 2 and 3
  • Campbell J., 《監測機制:隨即增長模型分析法》《貨幣經濟學期刊》,33, 1994年6月, 463-506
    Campbell J., Inspecting the Mechanism: An Analytical Approach to the Stochastic Growth Model, JME, 33, June 1994, 463-506


3. 考慮勞動/休閒的選擇(真實商業周期模型)
Allowing for a labor/leisure choice. (the RBC model)

  • Prescott, E. C., 〈理論領先於商業周期測量〉,《評論季刊》,明尼阿波利斯聯邦儲備銀行, 1986年秋季刊, 9-22
    Prescott, E. C., "Theory Ahead of Business Cycle Measurement," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Fall 1986, 9-22
  • Blanchard 和 Fischer, 第7章
    Blanchard and Fischer, Chapter 7
  • " King, R. 和 S. Rebelo,〈實際商業周期復蘇〉於J. Taylor 和 M. Woodford 編輯《總體經濟學手冊》第14章, 第1B冊,North Holland,927-1007
    King, R. and S. Rebelo, "Resuscitating Real Business Cycles," Chapter 14, Volume 1B, Handbook of Macroeconomics, J. Taylor and M. Woodford eds, North Holland, 927-1007
  • Basu, S. 和 Fernald, J., 〈生產力為什麼會同向循環?我們為何關注?〉,美國國家經濟研究局,W7940, 2000年10月
    Basu, S. and Fernald, J., "Why is Productivity Procyclical? Why Do We Care?," NBER W7940, October 2000
  • Jorgenson, D. 和K. Stiroh, 〈提高速度限制:資訊時代的美國經濟增長〉,Brookings經濟活動論文集,2000-1, 125-235
    Jorgenson, D. and K. Stiroh, "Raising the Speed Limit: U.S. Economic Growth in the Information Age," BPEA, 2000-1, 125-235
  • Shleifer, A.,〈實現周期〉,《政治經濟學期刊》,94-6, 1986年12月, 1163-1190
    Shleifer, A., "Implementation Cycles," JPE, 94-6, December 1986, 1163-1190


4. 考慮重要投資的選擇
Allowing for non trivial investment decisions.

  • Blanchard 和Fischer, 章節2-4, 6-3
    Blanchard and Fischer, Chapters 2-4, 6-3
  • Kraay, Aart,和Jaume Ventura,〈債權國和債務國的經常帳戶〉,《經濟學季刊》,2000-4, 1137-1166
    Kraay, Aart, and Jaume Ventura, "Current Accounts in Debtor and Creditor Countries", QJE, 2000-4, 1137-1166


5. 考慮兩項商品
Allowing for two goods.

  • Obstfeld 和 Rogoff, 第4章
    Obstfeld and Rogoff, Chapter 4
  • Obstfeld, M. 和 K. Rogoff,〈經常帳戶的跨期方法〉第34章, 第3冊, 《國際經濟學手冊》,G. Grossman 和 K. Rogoff eds, 1731-1799
    Obstfeld, M. and K. Rogoff, "The Intertemporal Approach to the Current Account", Chapter 34, Volume 3, Handbook of International Economics, G. Grossman and K. Rogoff eds, 1731-1799


6. 貨幣簡介
Introducing money.

  • Blanchard 和 Fischer, 第4章的4.3 to 4.7; and第10章的 10.2
    Blanchard and Fischer, Chapter 4, sections 4.3 to 4.7; and Chapter 10, section 10.2
  • " Dornbusch, R., Sturzenegger, F., 和H. Wolf, 〈極度通貨膨脹:動態與穩態〉,Brookings經濟活動論文集,1990-2, 1-84
    Dornbusch, R., Sturzenegger, F., and H. Wolf, "Extreme Inflation: Dynamics and Stabilization", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1990-2, 1-84


7. 定價簡介
Introducing price setting.

  • " Blanchard, O., 〈貨幣為何能影響產出的調查報告〉,摘自 B. Friedman 和 F. Hahn 編輯《貨幣經濟學手冊》,North Holland, 1990, 779-835
    Blanchard, O., "Why Does Money Affect Output? A Survey," in B. Friedman and F. Hahn eds, Handbook of Monetary Economics, North Holland, 1990, 779-835
  • Blanchard和 Fischer, 章節8-1, 11-4
    Blanchard and Fischer, Chapters 8-1, 11-4
  • Woodford, M., 章節3-1,〈含名義剛性的最優化模式。一個基本粘性價格模型〉,("Optimizing Models with Nominal Rigidities. A Basic Sticky-Price Model")
    Woodford, M., Chapter 3-1 ("Optimizing Models with Nominal Rigidities. A Basic Sticky-Price Model")


8. 簡介價格決定的變動
Introducing staggering of price decisions.

  • Blanchard 和Fischer, 章節8-2, 8-3
    Blanchard and Fischer, Chapter 8-2, 8-3
  • " Woodford, M. , 章節3-2 〈含名義剛性的最優化模型。通貨膨脹動態和定價變動〉("Optimizing Models with Nominal Rigidities. Inflation Dynamics with Staggered Price Setting.)
    Woodford, M. , Chapter 3-2 ("Optimizing Models with Nominal Rigidities. Inflation Dynamics with Staggered Price Setting.)
  • King, R., 〈新IS-LM 模式:語言,邏輯和極限〉,《經濟學季刊》,列治文聯邦儲備銀行,86-3, 2000年夏季刊, 45-103
    King, R., "The New IS-LM model: Language, Logic, and Limits," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, 86-3, Summer 2000, 45-103
  • Blanchard, O., 〈產出,股票市場和利率〉,《美國經濟評論》,1981年3月, 71-1, 132-143.
    Blanchard, O., "Output, The Stock Market, and Interest Rates," AER, March 1981, 71-1, 132-143.
  • Dornbusch, R., 〈期望與匯率動態〉,《政治經濟學雜誌》,1976年11月, 84, 1161-1176.
    Dornbusch, R., "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," JPE, December 1976, 84, 1161-1176.
  • Tobin, J. 〈凱恩斯的蕭條時期模型〉,《美國經濟評論》,65-2, 1975年5月, 195-202
    Tobin, J. "Keynesian Models of Recession and Depression", AER, 65-2, May 1975, 195-202


9. 財政和貨幣政策的應用
Applications to fiscal and monetary policy.

  • Woodford, M., 章節4-1, 4-2v貨幣政策研究的新Wicksellian架構〉,("A Neo-Wicksellian Framework for the Analysis of Monetary policy")
    Woodford, M., Chapter 4-1, 4-2 ("A Neo-Wicksellian Framework for the Analysis of Monetary policy")
  • Clarida, R., J. Gali, 和 M. Gertler, 〈貨幣政策科學:新凱恩斯主義觀點〉,NBER W7147, May 1999
    Clarida, R., J. Gali, and M. Gertler, "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," NBER W7147, May 1999
  • Krugman, P. 〈它又回來了:日本的經濟衰退和流動陷阱的重現。〉,布魯鑫斯經濟活動論文集,1998-2, 137-201
    Krugman, P. "It is Baaack: Japan's Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap," BPEA, 1998-2, 137-201
  • " Giavazzi, F., 和 M. Pagano,〈財政政策改變的非凱恩斯主義效應:國際實証和瑞典經驗〉,美國國家經濟研究局,W5332, 1996年10月
    Giavazzi, F., and M. Pagano, "Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes: International Evidence and the Swedish Experience," NBER W5332, October 1996.



 
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