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審定:無
翻譯:宋子方(簡介並寄信)
編輯:馬景文(簡介並寄信)
(編註:輔助教室
編輯所設置自學書院網站設有本課程的輔助教室,內容包括部份閱讀文章的翻譯本,中文文獻連結,和自學者論壇。)


課程目標和必備先修

?經濟學家和其他社會科學家提供機率論和統計學的堅實基礎,強調進一步學習計量經濟學所需內容,並為14.32課程做好基本準備。本課程無需機率論和統計學的基礎,但假定你熟悉初等代數和微積分。

Requirements

課程成績基於三次不積累的考試(佔最後分數85%)和大約九組問題集(佔最後分數的15%)。考試為閉書考試。每問題集在周二分發,下一個周二遞交。學生需要獨自完成問題集,不用參照過去的解題—理解全部內容無疑將對你有好處。不能提交至少七組問題集,最後成績不會高於D。強烈建議參加復習課,因為助教會討論問題集,澄清課程內容,和提供其他有用的指導。

規定

  1. 1. 問題集是為了幫助你學習如何應用課堂和復習課表達的知識。允許在課堂和其他同學討論課程內容,包括課後作業。不過,每次作業你必須遞交自己的答案。和他人討論是為了理清觀點、概念和技術問題,不是以小組完成作業。相同的作業答案(尤其是沒有給出得出答案的具體步驟或者涉及解釋疑問時)違反了本規定,可能拿不到學分。同樣,希望你作答時沒有參照過去的的答題。
  2. 2. 手寫的解答是可以的,只要清晰和整潔。請緊記:如果我們不能讀懂,我們無法評分。
  3. 3. 為了對按時上交作業的學生公平,不接受遲交作業。你可以在截止日期當日課上提交作業。課後,作業可以在下午4:30前放入指定的收集箱。不要把作業放到教授或助教的辦公室或信箱。
  4. 4.本課程必須參加所有三次考試。沒有充分的理由而錯過考試將導致整門課程不合格。
  5. 5. 如果缺席考試,必須在考試之前提出理由才算妥當;可以的話,必須書面提出理由,一定要有憑有據。這些規則是必要的,然而不是充分。我們保留權利判斷依照上述規則的理由為不成立。
  6. 6. 如果理由充分,將安排參加一次口試替代
  7. 7. 所有重新評分的要求必須以書面形式在考試結果公布後4天內提交。注意,整個考試會被重新評分。
  8. 8. 作弊或者任何形式的學術欺詐問題不會從寬處理,並且盡快懲罰。這包括,但不限於,抄寫其他學生的試卷,考試曉中和其他學生交流,沒有遵守關於筆記、計算器等考試規定,為了重新評分而更改試卷,以及呈交欺騙性的書面理由。學生一旦被發現作弊、不道德,不誠實,考試成績評為F,而且轉告麻省理工學院的紀律委員會採取進一步的行動。

Course Objective and Prerequisites

To provide a solid foundation in probability and statistics for economists and other social scientists. We will emphasize topics needed in the further study of econometrics and provide basic preparation for 14.32. No prior preparation in probability and statistics is required, but familiarity with basic algebra and calculus is assumed.

Requirements

The course grade will be based on three non-cumulative exams (85% of the final grade) and approximately nine problem sets (15% of the final grade). The exams will be closed book. The problem sets will typically be handed out on Tuesday and due the following Tuesday. You are expected to complete the problem sets on your own and without consulting old problem set solutions - it will clearly be in your interest to understand all of the material on them. Failing to return back at least 7 problem sets will result in a maximum final letter grade of D. Regular attendance at the recitation is strongly recommended, as the TA will discuss problem sets, clarify lecture material, and provide other useful guidance.

Policies

  1. Problem sets are designed to help you learn how to apply the material presented in lectures and recitations. You are permitted to discuss course material, including homework, with other students in the class. However, you must turn in your own individual solutions to each homework set. Discussion with others is intended to clarify ideas, concepts, and technical questions, not to derive group homework set solutions. Identical homework set answers (especially when the steps used to derive answers are not shown or when questions of interpretation are involved) violate this policy and may receive no credit. Also, you are expected to complete the problem sets without consulting old problem set solutions.
  2. Handwritten solutions are fine, as long as they are legible and neat. Please remember: if we can't read it, we can't grade it.
  3. In fairness to students who complete assignments on time, late homework sets will not be accepted. You may turn in assignments during the lecture on the day they are due. After the lecture, assignments may be placed in a designated box until 4:30 pm. Do not leave assignments in the professor or TAs' office or mailbox.
  4. Taking all three exams is a requirement of the course. Missing an exam without a valid excuse will result in a failing grade for the entire course.
  5. To be considered valid, an excuse must be proffered prior to the exam that is to be missed, if at all possible, the excuse must be in writing, and it must be verifiable. These criteria are necessary, not sufficient, however. We reserve the right to deem an excuse meeting the above criteria invalid.
  6. An oral make-up exam will be given in the event of a valid excuse.
  7. All requests for re-grades must be submitted in writing within 4 days of the exam being handed back. Note that the whole exam will be regraded.
  8. Cheating or academic dishonesty in any form will not be tolerated and will result in swift punitive action. This includes, but is not restricted to, copying information from other students' exams, communicating with other students during exams, failing to follow the rules of the exams regarding notes, calculators, etc., altering an exam for the purpose of a re-grade, and producing fraudulent written excuses. Any student found to have cheated or behaved unethically or dishonestly will be given a grade of F on the exam involved and referred to the appropriate disciplinary committees within MIT for further action.