本課程有兩本指定教材
This course has two required textbooks:
Shleifer, Andrei,《效率低下的資本市場︰行為金融學導言》,牛津大學出版社,2000年 . (以後本書稱為 ICM)
Shleifer, Andrei. Inefficient Capital Markets: An Introduction to Behavioral Finance. Oxford UP, 2000. (This book is henceforth referred to as ICM.)
Thaler, Richard,《勝利者的詛咒︰ 經濟生活的矛盾和異常》,普林斯頓, N.J.︰ 普林斯頓大學出版社, 1994年(本書以後稱為 TWC)
Thaler, Richard. The Winner's Curse: Paradoxes and Anomalies of Economic Life. Princeton, N. J.: Princeton University Press, 1994. (This book is henceforth referred to as TWC.)
還有一個不錯的訊息來源
A good source is also:
Kahneman,Daniel & Amos,Tversky等編著, 《選擇、價值與框架》,劍橋大學出版社, 2000年.(本書以後稱為 CVF)
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky, eds. Choices, Values and Frames. Cambridge University Press, 2000. (This book is henceforth referred to as CVF.)
下面列出了每章的閱讀材料,其中必須閱讀的材料用(*)標出。
The remainder of reading assignments are listed below. Required readings are denoted by an asterisk (*).
導言
Introduction
*Kahneman,D. ,〈有限理性的圖譜︰行為經濟學的心理學〉,《美國經濟評論》,(2003年12月)︰1449-1475頁
*Kahneman, D. "Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics." American Economic Review (December 2003): 1449-1475.
這是卡尼曼獲得諾貝拉獎時的演講,參見影片。
This is Kahneman's Nobel lecture. See a video of it.
*Mullainathan, Sendhil & Richard Thaler. ,〈行為經濟學〉,麻省理工學院經濟系工作論文 00-27頁 (2000年9月),(PDF)
*Mullainathan, Sendhil, and Richard Thaler. "Behavioral Economics." MIT Department of Economics Working Paper 00-27. (September 2000). (PDF)
傳統反對聲浪的討論
Discussion of Traditional Objections
*Gabaix,Xavier & David Laibson,〈競爭和消費者困惑〉,(PDF)(這是一篇很難讀懂的論文,不需要全部閱讀。)
*Gabaix, Xavier, and David Laibson. "Competition and Consumer Confusion." (PDF) (It's a difficult paper - no need to read everything.)
ICM,第二章
ICM. Chapter 2.
*Thaler, R. ,〈心理學和經濟學大會手冊︰ 對賽門、誒因霍恩、何高士、特維爾斯基以及卡尼曼的評論〉,《商業期刊》 ,59卷,第4期,第二部分 (1986年10月)︰s279 -s284頁..
*Thaler, R. "The Psychology and Economics Conference Handbook: Comments on Simon, on Einhorn and Hogarth, and on Tversky and Kahneman." J of Business 59, no. 4. Part 2 (October 1986): S279 - S284.
直接推斷和偏差
Heuristics and Biases
Thaler,R.,〈心理會計〉,《準理性經濟學》,Russell Sage出版社, 1991年
Thaler, R. "Mental Accounting." In Quasi-Rational Economics. Russell Sage, 1991.
*Tversky, A.& D. Kahneman,〈不確定條件下的判斷︰直接推斷和偏差〉,《 科學》,第185期 (1974年)︰1124-31頁
*Tversky, A., and D. Kahneman. "Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases." Science 185 (1974): 1124-31.
───,〈決策框架與選擇心理學〉,《科學》, 第211期 (1981年)︰453-8頁
———. "The Framing of Decisions and The Psychology of Choice." Science 211 (1981): 453-8.
風險迴避與展望理論
Risk Aversion and Prospect Theory
*Kahneman, D.& A. Tversky,〈預期理論︰風險條件下的決策分析〉,《計量經濟學》, 47卷,第2期 (1979年3月)︰263-91頁,CVF, 第2章,
*Kahneman, D., and A. Tversky. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk." Econometrica 47, no. 2 (March 1979): 263-91.CVF. Chapter 2.
Rabin, Matthew,〈邊際效用遞減無法解釋風險迴避〉,CVF,第11章, (你還可以參考︰ Rabin,Matthew,〈風險迴避與期望效用理論︰ 一個校準法則〉, 《計量經濟學》講義和評論部分,68卷,第5期 (2000年9月) ︰1281-1292頁,)
Rabin, Matthew. "Diminishing Marginal Utility Cannot Explain Risk Aversion." CVF , Chapter 11. (You can consult also: Rabin, Matthew. "Risk Aversion and Expected-Utility Theory: A Calibration Theorem." In Notes and Comments. Econometrica 68, no. 5 (September 2000): 1281-1292.)
有限理性與學習
Bounded Rationality and Learning
有限理性
Bounded Rationality
*Camerer, Ho & Chong ,〈一次性賽局中的認知層次理論與實驗分析〉,第4版, 《經濟學季刊》(下文簡化為QJE)
*Camerer, Ho, and Chong. "A Cognitive Hierarchy Theory of One-Shot Games and Experimental Analysis." Forth, QJE.
*Gabaix,Xavier,& David Laibson,〈競爭和消費者困惑〉, (PDF) (這篇論文很難讀懂 ,不需要閱讀全部內容。)
*Gabaix, Xavier, and David Laibson. "Competition and Consumer Confusion." (PDF) (It's a difficult paper - no need to read everything.)
*───,〈競爭市場中的內隱歸因與訊息抑制〉,(PDF)
*———. "Shrouded Attributes and Information Suppression in Competitive Markets." (PDF)
*Kahneman,D. ,〈有限理性的圖譜︰行為經濟學的心理學〉,《美國經濟評論》(2003年12月)︰1449-1475頁.
*Kahneman, D. "Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics." American Economic Review (December 2003): 1449-1475.
TWC,第5章
TWC. Chapter 5.
TWC,第7章
TWC. Chapter 7.
學習
Learning
Erev,Ido & Alvin Roth,〈預測人們如何進行賽局〉,《美國經濟評論》,88卷, 第 4期 (1998年9月)︰848-81頁.
Erev, Ido, and Alvin Roth. "Predicting How People Play Games." American Economic Review 88, no. 4 (September 1998): 848-81.
注意
Attention
*Barber,Brad & Terrance Odean,〈閃亮的東西︰注意的影響與關於個體投資者和機構投資者購買行為的報導〉, 2003年, (PDF)
*Barber, Brad, and Terrance Odean. "All that Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors." 2003. (PDF)
DellaVigna, Stefano & Joshua Pollet,〈注意,人口變動與股票市場〉, 2003年
DellaVigna, Stefano, and Joshua Pollet. "Attention, Demographic Changes, and the Stock Market." 2003.
Xavier Gabaix, David Laibson, Guillermo Moloche & Stephen Weinberg,〈注意的分配︰理論與證據〉, 油印件.
Gabaix, Xavier, David Laibson, Guillermo Moloche, and Stephen Weinberg. "The Allocation of Attention: Theory and Evidence." Mimeo.
* Xavier Gabaix & David Laibson,〈內隱歸因與競爭市場中的訊息抑制〉(PDF)
*Gabaix, Xavier, and David Laibson. "Shrouded Attributes and Information Suppression in Competitive Markets." (PDF)
決策效用與體驗效用
Decision Utility and Experienced Utility
*Gilbert, D.T.,E.C.Pinel,T.D.Wilson,S.J.Blumberg & T.P.Wheatley,〈情感預測中的持久偏見〉,《直接推斷和偏差︰直覺判斷心理學》, T.Gilovich, D.Griffin, & D. Kahneman編輯,劍橋︰劍橋大學出版社, 2002年, 292-312頁,
*Gilbert, D. T., E. C. Pinel, T. D. Wilson, S. J. Blumberg, and T. P. Wheatley. "Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting." In Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment. Edited by T. Gilovich, D. Griffin, and D. Kahneman. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2002, pp. 292-312.
*Kahneman, Daniel等, 〈追溯邊沁?〉QJE,112卷,第 2期 (1997年5月)︰375-405頁,
*Kahneman, Daniel, et al. "Back to Bentham?" QJE 112, no. 2 (May 1997): 375-405.
Kahneman,Daniel,〈體驗效用和客觀快樂︰一個基於當下的觀點〉,CVF, 第 37章
Kahneman, Daniel. Experienced Utility and Objective Happiness: A Moment-Based Approach. CVF, Chapter 37.
*Frey,B. & A.Stutzer,〈經濟學家從幸福學研究中能夠學到什麼?〉《經濟文獻期刊》,40卷,第 2期 (2002年)︰402-35頁,
*Frey, B., and A. Stutzer. "What Can Economists Learn from Happiness Research?" Journal of Economic Literature 40, no. 2 (2002): 402-35.
過度自信
Overconfidence
*Weinstein,〈關於未來生活事件的不實際期望〉, 《人格和社會心理學期刊》, 第39期 (1980年)︰806-820頁,
*Weinstein. "Unrealistic Expectations About Future Life Events." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 39 (1980): 806-820.
Malmendier,Ulrike & Geoffrey Tate,〈總裁的過度自信與公司投資〉,2003年5月
Malmendier, Ulrike, and Geoffrey Tate. "CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment." May 2003.
時間折扣與自我控制
Time Discounting and Self Control
時間折扣與自我控制建模
Modeling Tme Discounting and Self-control
*Akerlof, G.,〈拖延與服從〉,《美國經濟評論》,81卷,第 2期 (1991年)︰1-19頁
*Akerlof, G. "Procrastination and Obedience." American Economic Review 81, no. 2 (1991): 1-19.
*Laibson, D.,〈金蛋與雙曲型折扣〉,QJE,112卷,第2期 (1997年5月)︰443-77頁
*Laibson, D. "Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting." QJE 112, no. 2 (May 1997): 443-77.
*O'Donoghue, Ted & M. Rabin,〈現下做還是以後做〉, 《美國經濟評論》,89卷,第1期 (1999年3月)︰103-24頁
*O'Donoghue, Ted, and M. Rabin. "Doing It Now or Later." American Economic Review 89, no. 1 (March 1999): 103-24.
關於時間折扣的心理學證據
Some Psychological Evidence on Time Discounting
*Frederick,Shane, G.Loewenstein & T. O'Donoghue,〈時間折扣︰評述〉, 第4版, JEL
*Frederick, Shane, and G. Loewenstein, and T. O'Donoghue. "Time Discounting: A Critical Review." Forth. JEL.
應用
Applications
Angeletos, M., D. Laibson, A. Repetto & J. Tobacman,〈雙曲型緩沖股票模型︰ 校準、類比與實證評價〉,JEP (2002年) , (PDF)
Angeletos, M., D. Laibson, A. Repetto, and J. Tobacman. "The Hyperbolic Buffer Stock Model: Calibration, Simulation, and Empirical Evaluation." JEP (2002). (PDF)
*Thaler & Bernatzi,〈明天多儲蓄︰應用行為經濟學增加僱員的儲蓄〉,(PDF)
*Thaler, and Bernatzi. "Save More Tomorrow: Using Behavioral Economics to Increase Employee Saving." (PDF)
行為經濟學與家長製
Behavioral Economics and Paternalism
Thaler, T. & C.Sunstein,〈自由主義的溫和專制主義〉,《美國經濟評論》,93卷,第2期 (2003年)︰175-179頁,
Thaler, T., and C. Sunstein. "Libertarian Paternalism." The American Economic Review 93, no. 2 (2003): 175-179.
公平
Fairness
*Henrich, Fehr;Boyd, Bowles; Gintis,Camerer & McElreath,〈尋找經濟人︰15個小群體的實驗〉,《美國經濟評論》, 91卷 (2001年)︰73-78頁,(PDF )
*Henrich, Fehr, Boyd, Bowles, Gintis, Camerer, and McElreath. "In Search of Homo Economicus: Behavioral Experiments in 15 Small-Scale Societies." American Economic Review 91 (2001): 73-78. (PDF )
Fehr & Fischbacher,〈人類利他主義的本質〉,《自然》,425卷 ( 2003年10月)︰785-791頁,(PDF )
Fehr, and Fischbacher. "The Nature of Human Altruism." Nature 425 (23 October 2003): 785-791. (PDF )
*Fehr & Gächter,〈公平與報復︰互惠的經濟學〉,《經濟展望雜誌》,第14期 (2000年)
*Fehr, and Gächter. "Fairness and Retaliation: The Economics of Reciprocity." Journal of Economic Perspectives 14 (2000).
*Fehr & Schmidt,〈公平理論、競爭與合作〉, 《經濟學季刊》, 114卷 (1999年)︰817-868頁
*Fehr, and Schmidt. "A Theory of Fairness, Competition and Cooperation." Quarterly Journal of Economics 114 (1999): 817-868.
Rabin ,M,〈把公平性融和進賽局理論和經濟學〉, 《美國經濟評論》, 第 5期 (1993年)︰1281-1302頁,
Rabin, M. "Incorporating Fairness into Game Theory and Economics." American Economic Review no. 5 (1993): 1281-1302.
神經經濟學
Neuroeconomics
*Camerer,Loewenstein & Prelec,〈神經學如何服務於經濟學〉,JEP,(修改中)
*Camerer, Loewenstein, and Prelec. "How Neuroscience Can Inform Economics. " JEP. (Under revision.)
Sanfey,A.,G.,J.K.Rilling,J.A.Aronson,L.E.Nystrom & J.D. Cohen,〈最後通牒賽局中經濟決策的神經學基礎〉 《科學》,300期(2003年)︰1755-1757頁,
Sanfey, A. G., J. K. Rilling, J. A. Aronson, L. E. Nystrom, and J. D. Cohen. "The Neural Basis of Economic Decision Making in the Ultimatum Game." Science 300 (2003): 1755-1757.
行為金融學
Behavioral Finance
*Barberis, Nicholas, & Richard Thaler. 〈行為金融學縱覽〉,美國國家經濟研究局工作報告W9222 (2002).
*Barberis, Nicholas, and Richard Thaler. "A Survey of Behavioral Finance." NBER Working Paper W9222 (2002).
*ICM,第1章
*ICM. Chapter 1.
投資者行為的直接證據
Direct Evidence on Investor Behavior
Benartzi, S., & R. Thaler. 〈定額供款儲蓄計畫中的樸素的多樣性策略〉, 《美國經濟評論》(2001年).
Benartzi, S., and R. Thaler. "Naive Diversification Strategies in Defined Contribution Savings Plans." American Economic Review (2001).
Barber, & Odean. 〈閃亮的東西:注意的影響關於個體投資者和機構投資者購買行為的報導〉 (PDF) 參考 其它論文.
Barber, and Odean. "All that Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors." (PDF) See other papers.
*Odean, T.,〈投資者不願意了解他們的損失嗎?〉,《金融學期刊》 (1998年)︰775-1798頁.參考 其他論文.
*Odean, T. "Are Investors Reluctant to Realize Their Losses?" Journal of Finance (1998): 1775-1798. See other papers.
───. 〈投資者交易太多嗎?〉, 《美國經濟評論》 (1999年12月)︰1279-98頁.
———. "Do Investors Trade too Much?" American Economic Review (Dec 1999): 1279-98.
套利的局限
Limits to Arbitrage
*效率低下的市場. 第2, 3 和 4章.
*Inefficient Markets. Chapters 2, 3 and 4.
Lamont, & Thaler,〈市場能夠加減嗎??科技股票分拆上市中的錯誤定價〉, 《政治經濟學期刊》,(2003年4月).
Lamont, and Thaler."Can the Market Add and Subtract? Mispricing in Tech Stock Carve-Outs." Journal of Political Economy (April 2003).
過渡波動與交易量和交易價格波動之間的關係
Excess Volatility and the Relation between Volume and Price Movements
*Gabaix, Xavier, Parameswaran Gopikrishnan, Vasiliki Plerou, & H. Eugene Stanley, 〈金融市場波動中的冪次定理分佈理論〉, 《自然》, 423卷 (2003年)︰267-70頁.
*Gabaix, Xavier, Parameswaran Gopikrishnan, Vasiliki Plerou, and H. Eugene Stanley. "A Theory of Power Law Distributions in Financial Market Fluctuations." Nature 423 (2003): 267-70.
───,〈股票市場交易中的大幅波動理論〉(PDF)
———. "A Theory of Large Fluctuations in Stock Market Activity." (PDF)
背景閱讀
Background Reading
Gabaix, Xavier,〈城市的日傑夫定律︰解析〉,《經濟學季刊》,114卷, 第 3期 (1999年8月):︰739-67頁.
Gabaix, Xavier. "Zipf's Law for Cities: An Explanation." Quarterly Journal of Economics 114, no. 3 (August 1999): 739-67.
總資產溢價
Aggregate Equity Premium
*Benartzi, S., & R. Thaler,〈短視的損失迴避與資產溢價之謎〉,《經濟學季刊》,110卷, 第1期 (1995年2月)︰73-92頁. CVF. 第 17章.
*Benartzi, S., and R. Thaler. "Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle." QJE 110, no. 1 (February 1995): 73-92.CVF. Chapter 17.
Gabaix, Xavier, & David Laibson,〈6D 偏差與資產溢價之謎〉,美國國家經濟研究局 Macro 手冊 (2002年).
Gabaix, Xavier, and David Laibson. "The 6D Bias and the Equity Premium Puzzle." NBER Macro Annual (2002).
收益公告與回應不足
Earnings Announcements and Underreaction
Bernard, V. ,〈股票價格對收益公告的回應:近期反常跡象與可能解釋之摘要〉,《 行為金融學進展》,第11章,Thaler 編輯,紐約 ,Russell Sage 基金會,1993年,303-340頁
Bernard, V. "Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Announcements: A Summary of Recent Anomalous Evidence and Possible Explanations." Chapter 11 in Advances in Behavioral Finance. Edited by Thaler. NY, Russell Sage Foundation, 1993, pp. 303-340.
實驗金融學
Experimental Finance
Smith, Vernon, Gerruy Suchanek, & Arlington Williams,〈泡沫、崩潰與現貨市場中的內生期待〉,《計量經濟學》,56卷,第5期 (1988年)︰1119-1151頁.
Smith, Vernon, Gerruy Suchanek, and Arlington Williams. "Bubbles, Crashes and Endogenous Expectations in Experimental Spot Asset Markets." Econometrica 56, no. 5 (1988): 1119-1151.
泡沫與崩潰
Bubbles and Crashes
Baker, Malcolm, & Jeffrey Wurgler,〈投資者情感與股票收益的橫斷面〉. 2003年.
Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns." 2003.
Kindleberger,〈躁狂、驚惶與崩潰:金融危機的歷史〉,第3版,Wiley出版社,平裝本 ,2000年.
Kindleberger. "Mania, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises." 3rd ed. Wiley, Paperback, 2000.
Shiller, R. ,〈非理性繁榮〉,普林斯頓大學出版社, 2000年.
Shiller, R. Irrational Exuberance. Princeton U. Press, 2000.
投資者情感理論
A Theory of Investor Sentiment
*ICM,第 5章
*ICM. Chapter 5.
公司金融學
Corporate Finance
*Barker, M., 與 J. Wurgler,〈市場時機與資本架構〉,《金融期刊》(2002年2月).
*Barker, M., and J. Wurgler. "Market Timing and Capital Structure." Journal of Finance (February 2002).
Landier, Augustin與David Thesmar,〈與樂觀企業家簽約︰理論與實務〉(PDF)
Landier, Augustin, and David Thesmar. "Contracting with Optimistic Entrepreneurs: Theory and Evidence." (PDF)
*Malmendier,Ulrike與Geoffrey Tate,〈總裁的過度自信與公司投資〉, 2003年5月
*Malmendier, Ulrike, and Geoffrey Tate. "CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment." May 2003.
進一步閱讀材料
Further Readings
Cialdini, R. ,《影響, 說服心理學》, Quill出版社,1993年 (一本相當淺顯易懂的好書)
Cialdini, R. Influence, The Psychology of Persuasion. Quill, 1993. (Particularly easy and nice)
Camerer, Colin F., George Loewenstein與Matthew Rabin等編著,《行為經濟學進展》, 普林斯頓大學出版社,2003年.
Camerer, Colin F., George Loewenstein, and Matthew Rabin, eds. Advances in Behavioral Economics. Princeton University Press, 2003.