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教学大纲


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灯号说明

审定:无
翻译:董良良(简介并寄信)
编辑:陈盈(简介并寄信)


预修课程

麻省理工学院课程11.481J, 1.284J, ESD.192J 或得到导师许可


时间表

每周一课,每次2-3小时。

请注意,某几周会有1-2小时的复习课,讨论计算机建模的问题。确切时间及地点将和研讨会的学生一起决定。


研讨会描述

这个高年级研究生研讨会的目的,是为了让学生能充分掌握精选的区域经济理论和技术,并积累在计算机使用不同社会经济影响评估模型和相关区域的技术的经验。研讨会将讨论特定的理论建模和经济问题;理论、效益和政策的关联;国家与区域的经济结构关系、以及调整和预计区域投入-产出效益和报表的方法。研讨会将全部引用波士顿地区及其它美国城市/地区的实例来说明重点。这一年,我们还将研究波士顿工业的国际劳务外包问题,及其对本地经济的经济影响,并涉及一些分析区域开发议题的新内容。

我们将使用一套最先进的计算机软件包-由George I. Treyz开发的「区域经济模型有限公司(REMI)」。新英格兰和美国其它地方的区域分析家都广泛应用该软件包。

学生们须完成3组习题集。在研讨会的第一阶段,我们将为学生提供适宜的资料,用以分析和评估麻省区域经济,以及测试计算机软件包。在研讨会的最后一个阶段,学生要扩充他们最初的分析,评估波士顿的投资项目及劳务外包带来的社会经济影响。确切项目将由班上成员和波士顿重建局(BRA)工作人员共同选择。学期结束时,学生们必须向波士顿重建局研究人员作正式陈述报告。

最终成绩按以下权重评定:

活动 权重
习题集 1 20%
习题集 2 25%
习题集 3 — 期末专题 30%
课堂陈述报告 15%
向波士顿重建局作陈述报告和准备 10%

学期的习题集成绩根据加权平均后得出以下的学期分数

分值范围 成绩
95-100 A
90-94 A-
85-89 B+
80-84 B
75-79 B-
70-74 C+
65-69 C


建议购买的书目

Isard, Walter, Iwan J. Azis, Matthew P. Drennan, Ronald E. Miller, Sidney Salzman, 和Erik Thorbecke《区际及区域分析法》,Aldershot, England: Ashgate出版公司, 1998年出版。

Krugman, Paul〈中心与外围〉《地理与贸易》,比利时鲁汶大学出版社1991年出版

———. 〈地理:失而复得〉及〈附录〉《发展,地理与经济理论》,麻省理工学院出版社1995年出版

Miller, Ronald E.和Peter D. Blair《投入-产出分析:基础及延伸》,Prentice-Hall出版公司1985年出版(已绝版)。

Treyz, George I,《区域经济学建模:经济预测与政策分析的系统方法》,Kluwer Academic出版社1993年出版

研讨会的必读书目将在课程网站上列出。我们在第一次研讨会上还将提供更多相关信息。


Prerequisites

MIT 11.481J, 1.284J, ESD.192J or Permission of Instructor


Schedule

One session per week; 2-3 hours per session

Note that for some weeks, an hour or two of recitation will be held to work on the computer modeling issues. Exact time and location will be determined with the students in the seminar.


Seminar Description

The seminar is designed to provide advanced graduate students with a thorough understanding of selected regional economic theories and techniques and with experience in using alternative socioeconomic impact assessment models and related regional techniques on microcomputers. Discussions will be held on particular theoretical modeling and economic issues; linkages among theories, accounts, and policies; relationships between national and regional economic structures; and methods of adjusting and estimating regional input-output accounts and tables. Examples from the Boston area and other U.S. cities/regions will be used to illustrate points throughout the seminar. This year we will also examine international employment outsourcing from Boston industries and the economic impacts on the local economy. New material on analyzing regional development issues will be covered.

We will use a state-of-the-art regional microcomputer package, Regional Economic Models, Inc. (REMI), by George I. Treyz. Regional analysts in New England and elsewhere in the United States make extensive use of this package.

Students will do three problem sets. During the first part of the seminar, we will provide students with appropriate data for them to analyze and evaluate the Massachusetts regional economy and to test the computer-software package. During the last part of the seminar, students will extend their initial analysis to assess socioeconomic impacts of Boston investment projects as well as employment outsourcing, the exact projects to be selected by members of the class in collaboration with the BRA staff. Students will give a formal presentation to the BRA research staff at the end of the semester.

The weights for the final grade are as follows:

ACTIVITY WEIGHTS
Problem Set 1 20%
Problem Set 2 25%
Problem Set 3 - Final Project 30%
Class Presentations 15%
Preparation and Presentation to the BRA 10%

The following scores, which will be weighted and averaged for the term, will be given on the problem sets:

RANGE SCORES
95-100 A
90-94 A-
85-89 B+
80-84 B
75-79 B-
70-74 C+
65-69 C


Suggested Books to Purchase

Isard, Walter, Iwan J. Azis, Matthew P. Drennan, Ronald E. Miller, Sidney Salzman, and Erik Thorbecke. Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis. Aldershot, England: Ashgate, 1998.

Krugman, Paul. "Center and Periphery." In Geography and Trade. Belgium: Leuven University Press, 1991.

———. "Geography Lost and Found," and "Appendix." In Development, Geography, and Economic Theory. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 1995.

Miller, Ronald E., and Peter D. Blair. Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1985. [Out-of-print]

Treyz, George I. Regional Economic Modeling: A Systematic Approach to Economic Forecasting and Policy Analysis. Boston, MA: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1993.

Required readings will be available on the course website for the seminar. We will provide more information in the first meeting of the seminar.


 
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